It’s generally accepted that the Blues have to secure three points from all their remaining five games for the doors of last-chance saloon to remain open.
And even then they rely on those currently above them in the table to slip up and drop points in their own pursuit of the play-offs.
But what’s the chance of that happening today during this afternoon’s high-stake matches?
Here’s how our friends at Fivethirtyeight.com see events unfolding.

5. Bristol Rovers v Derby - away win
Bristol Rovers win: 24%. Derby win: 52%. Draw: 24%. Photo: Clive Mason

6. Burton Albion v Sheffield Wednesday - away win
Burton Albion win: 14%. Sheffield Wednesday win: 66%. Draw: 20%. Photo: Dan Mullan

7. Forest Green Rovers v Barnsley - away win
Forest Green Rovers win: 8%. Barnsley win: 75%. Draw: 17%. Photo: George Wood

8. Ipswich v Charlton - home win
Ipswich win: 71%. Charlton win: 10%. Draw: 19%. Photo: Stephen Pond
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